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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">vestift</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Известия Национальной академии наук Беларуси. Серия физико-технических наук</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus. Physical-technical series</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">1561-8358</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2524-244X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>The Republican Unitary Enterprise Publishing House "Belaruskaya Navuka"</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.29235/1561-8358-2019-64-3-374-384</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">vestift-461</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ДИАГНОСТИКА И БЕЗОПАСНОСТЬ ТЕХНИЧЕСКИХ И ПРИРОДНЫХ СИСТЕМ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>DIAGNOSTICS AND SAFETY OF TECHNICAL AND ENVIRONMENT SYSTEMS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Вероятностный анализ дозовых нагрузок на персонал при выводе из эксплуатации пункта хранения отработавшего ядерного топлива передвижной АЭС «Памир-630Д»</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Probabilistic dose assessment for personnel during decommissioning of spent nuclear fuel storage facility of transportable NPP “Pamir-630D”</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кузьмин</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kuzmin</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Кузьмин Андрей Владимирович – кандидат физико-математических наук, генеральный директор</p><p>a/я 119, 220109, Минск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Andrei V. Kuzmin – Ph. D. (Physics and Mathematics), Director General</p><p>P. O. box 119, 220109, Minsk</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">avkuzmin@sosny.bas-net.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Радкевич</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Radkevich</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Радкевич Артем Валерьянович – ученый секретарь</p><p>a/я 119, 220109, Минск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Artyom V. Radkevich – Scientific Secretary</p><p>P. O. box 119, 220109, Minsk</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">radkevich@sosny.bas-net.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Петрушкевич</surname><given-names>В. П.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Petrushkevich</surname><given-names>V. P.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Петрушкевич Владимир Петрович – заведующий отделом эксплуатации технологических систем пункта хранения и хранилищ ИИИ и РАО</p><p>a/я 119, 220109, Минск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Vladimir P. Petrushkevich – Head of the Department of Operation of Technological Systems of Storage Facilities and Storage Facilities for Radiation Sources and Radioactive Waste</p><p>P. O. box 119, 220109, Minsk</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">vl.petr@sosny.bas-net.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кузьмина</surname><given-names>Н. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kuzmina</surname><given-names>N. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Кузьмина Наталья Дмитриевна – старший научный сотрудник</p><p>a/я 119, 220109, Минск</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Natallia D. Kuzmina – Senior Researcher</p><p>P. O. box 119, 220109, Minsk</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">ndkuzmina@sosny.bas-net.by</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Объединенный институт энергетических и ядерных исследований – Сосны Национальной академии наук Беларуси</institution></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Joint Institute for Power and Nuclear Research – Sosny of the National Academy of Science of Belarus</institution></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2019</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>06</day><month>10</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>64</volume><issue>3</issue><fpage>378</fpage><lpage>384</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Кузьмин А.В., Радкевич А.В., Петрушкевич В.П., Кузьмина Н.Д., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Кузьмин А.В., Радкевич А.В., Петрушкевич В.П., Кузьмина Н.Д.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Kuzmin A.V., Radkevich A.V., Petrushkevich V.P., Kuzmina N.D.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://vestift.belnauka.by/jour/article/view/461">https://vestift.belnauka.by/jour/article/view/461</self-uri><abstract><p>Выполнен вероятностный анализ дозовых нагрузок для количественного определения относительной важности вкладов неопределенностей исходных данных в неопределенность оценок коллективной и максимальной индивидуальной доз персонала при выводе из эксплуатации пункта хранения. Вероятностный подход к анализу дозовых нагрузок, включающий анализ чувствительности и неопределенности по отношению к входным параметрам используемых расчетных моделей оценки доз, позволяет определить наиболее чувствительные параметры, неточности в задании которых приводят к значительным неопределенностям оценок дозовых нагрузок на персонал и, таким образом, требуют более точного определения консервативных граничных значений при детерминистическом анализе и обосновании безопасности. Расчеты выполнены посредством применения кода RESRAD-BUILD 3.50, разработанного в Аргоннской национальной лаборатории Министерства энергетики США. Полученные результаты позволяют ранжировать параметры расчетной модели по степени их влияния на неопределенность итоговых оценок дозовых нагрузок на персонал, выработать рекомендации по оптимизации дозовых нагрузок при выполнении радиационно-опасных работ по выводу из эксплуатации объектов использования атомной энергии.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The aim of the current work is to perform a probabilistic dose assessment to quantify the relative importance of the source data uncertainties contribution towards the uncertainty estimates of collective and maximum individual doses of personnel during decommissioning of a storage facility. A probabilistic approach to the analysis of dose loads, including the analysis of sensitivity and uncertainty with respect to the input parameters of the used calculation models of dose assessment, allows to determine the most sensitive parameters, inaccuracies in the task of which lead to significant uncertainties in the estimates of dose loads on personnel and, therefore, require more accurate determination of conservative boundary values in deterministic analysis and safety justification. The calculations were performed by applying the code RESRAD-BUILD 3.50, developed by the Argonne National Laboratory of the US Department of Energy. The obtained results allow us to rank the parameters of the computational model according to the degree of their influence on the uncertainty of the final estimates of the dose loads on personnel, to develop recommendations for optimizing dose loads when performing radiation-hazardous work during nuclear facilities decommissioning.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>риск-ориентированный подход</kwd><kwd>вероятностный анализ</kwd><kwd>дозовые нагрузки на персонал</kwd><kwd>отработавшее ядерное топливо</kwd><kwd>вывод из эксплуатации</kwd><kwd>неопределенности</kwd><kwd>радиационно-опасные работы</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>risk-based approach</kwd><kwd>probabilistic analysis</kwd><kwd>dose loads on personnel</kwd><kwd>spent nuclear fuel</kwd><kwd>decommissioning</kwd><kwd>uncertainties</kwd><kwd>radiation hazardous work</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Вывод из эксплуатации установок. 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